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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHybrid vehicles are the hottest thing in the market right now, says Group 1 Automotive CEODaryl Kenningham, Group 1 Automotive president and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the auto market, price trends for new and used cars, consumer demand for EV and hybrid vehicles, and more.
Persons: Daryl Kenningham Organizations: EV
It's a far cry from the peak of 10.6% in October 2022 as an energy crisis left Europe's households and businesses struggling to make ends meet. The new figure is close to the European Central Bank's inflation target of 2% following a rapid series of interest rate hikes dating to summer 2022. Energy prices plunged 11.5% from November 2022. Meanwhile, the larger eurozone economy has stalled this year, even shrinking 0.1% in the July-to-September quarter, according to Eurostat. ___This story has been corrected to show that the eurozone economy shrank 0.1% in the third quarter, not grew by that amount.
Persons: , Andrew Kenningham, Christine Lagarde, ” Lagarde, That's, upended, ” Carsten Brzeski Organizations: Eurostat, ECB, Capital Economics, Energy, OECD, ING Locations: Europe, Germany, Europe's, Russia, Moscow, Ukraine
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGroup 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham on earnings results, impact of UAW strike and EV demandDaryl Kenningham, Group 1 Automotive president and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's earnings results, with both earnings and sales topping expectations, impact of UAW strike, EV demand, and more.
Persons: Daryl Kenningham Organizations: UAW, EV
The Ifo institute said on Friday that its business climate index stood at 85.7, down from 87.4 in July. Reuters Graphics"The German economy is not out of the woods yet," Ifo president Clemens Fuest said. The economy then posted zero growth in the second quarter compared to the previous three months, separate data from the statistics office showed on Friday. The Ifo survey showed sentiment among German managers had become more pessimistic across all sectors in August. The Ifo survey chimed with flash PMI data released on Wednesday, which showed that German business activity contracted at the fastest pace for more than three years in August.
Persons: Annegret, Clemens Fuest, Christian Lindner, Klaus Wohlrabe, Claus Niegsch, Niegsch, Andrew Kenningham, Carsten Brzeski, Maria Martinez, Friederike Heine, Mark Potter, John Stonestreet Organizations: REUTERS, Reuters, . Finance, DZ Bank, Reuters Graphics, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, BERLIN, Europe
That’s the lowest reading since May 2020, when the country began gradually lifting stringent pandemic restrictions. “Any hope that the service sector might rescue the German economy has evaporated. The figures add to evidence that Germany’s economy is sputtering again after it emerged from a winter recession in the second quarter by the narrowest of margins. “The downward pressure on the economy of the eurozone in August stems mainly from the German service sector,” said De la Rubia. “Activity has started to shrink while prices have shot up again, even picking up pace,” De la Rubia said.
Persons: stoking, , Cyrus de la Rubia, , De la, , De la Rubia, ” Andrew Kenningham Organizations: London CNN —, Hamburg Commercial Bank, P Global, P, European Central Bank, ECB, Capital Economics Locations: London CNN — Germany, Hamburg, Germany, Europe,
Its maker, Novo Nordisk (NONOF), has raked in almost 49 billion Danish krone in profit ($7 billion) over the first six months of this year, up 32% from the same period in 2022. Novo Nordisk also produces Ozempic, a drug developed to treat type 2 diabetes but which contains the same active ingredient as Wegovy. Surging demandShares in Novo Nordisk have soared 34% since the start of 2023 to give the company a market capitalization of 2.2 trillion Danish krone ($322 billion). The stock shot up earlier this month after Novo Nordisk published the results of a five-year trial on the impact of Wegovy on cardiovascular disease. Novo Nordisk now expects its profits to grow by up to 37% this year, much higher growth than the maximum 19% rise it forecast in February.
Persons: Jens Naervig Pedersen, Pedersen, Jaap Arriens, ” Pedersen, “ We’ve, Andrew Kenningham, , juggernauts Roche Organizations: London CNN, Nordic, Novo Nordisk, Danish, Danske Bank, European Central Bank, CNN, Capital Economics, AstraZeneca, Kaiser Family Foundation Locations: United States, Denmark, Danish, Europe
Is it time to worry about stagflation?
  + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
CNN —For the past two years, economists have been worrying about the risks of high inflation rates. But far less attention has been given to inflation’s sibling: stagflation. Stagflation is the combination of high inflation and a slowing economy. The current state of stagflation: Last year, then-World Bank President David Malpass warned that stagflation risks were high because of supply chain disruptions stemming from lockdowns in China and bans on Russian oil. What’s happening now: The risk of stagflation varies significantly across different regions of the globe.
Persons: Stagflation, David Malpass, Janet Yellen, , Lan Ha, stagflation, Andrew Kenningham, , That’s, ” Kenningham, ” Ha, Ha, Parija Kavilanz, don’t, Dallin Hatch, Biden, Joe Biden, Trump, Matt Egan, It’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal, World Bank, Euromonitor, Capital Economics, Bank of England’s, National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Trump Locations: Israel, lockdowns, China, Europe, Germany, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia
Euro zone inflation fell in July, and new growth figures showed economic activity picking up in the second quarter of this year — but economists still fear a recession could be in the cards. Headline inflation in the euro area was 5.3% in July, according to preliminary data released Monday, lower than the 5.5% registered in June. The euro area has been battling high inflation for the past year, leading the ECB to undergo a full year of consecutive rate hikes in an effort to bring prices down. Initially, much of the price pressures in the euro area were coming from high energy costs, but in recent months food prices have contributed the most. This month, food, alcohol and tobacco once again drove inflation — prices rose by 10.8% in July, in a hike that was nevertheless lower than in previous months.
Persons: Andrew Kenningham Organizations: Central, Capital Economics, ECB Locations: Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGroup 1 Automotive CEO: Seeing some EV supply constraints with manufacturersDaryl Kenningham, Group 1 Automotive CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the balance in demand and supply for electric vehicles, the current market for used cars, and the scarcity of service technicians.
Persons: Daryl Kenningham Organizations: Automotive
In the first three months of the year, economic output in the eurozone dropped 0.1% compared with the previous quarter, according to revised official data published Thursday. Across the European Union, gross domestic product ticked up 0.1% in the first quarter after falling 0.2% late last year. Commenting on the eurozone data, Andrew Kenningham, chief Europe economist at Capital Economics, said consumption by households had been “hit hard” by high prices and rising interest rates. US economy out in frontBoth the eurozone and the whole of the EU are now lagging the US economy. Earlier official estimates of the eurozone’s economic output pointed to a slight increase in the first quarter.
Persons: Andrew Kenningham, Frederik Ducrozet, Russia’s, Claus Vistesen, Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Capital Economics, Pictet Wealth Management, Organisation for Economic Co, Pantheon Macroeconomics, European Central Bank Locations: Europe, Ukraine, United States, downgrades, Germany, Europe’s, Ireland
The euro zone entered a recession in the first quarter of this year, and economists are not optimistic for the coming months. In a first reading, the agency had said the euro zone grew by 0.1% over the first three months of the year. Prior to its weak performance over January-March, the euro zone also contracted by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2022. "News that GDP contracted in the first quarter after all means that the euro zone has already fallen into a technical recession. Euro zone bond yields continued to trade largely higher Thursday following the data announcement, as several market players expect further monetary tightening.
Persons: Andrew Kenningham, Claus Vistesen Organizations: Capital Economics, Macroeconomics, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: Germany, Europe, Ireland, Netherlands, Greece
BERLIN, June 7 (Reuters) - German industrial output rose less than expected in April, darkening the outlook for the euro zone's largest economy following weak new orders data earlier this week. The statistics office revised up the industrial production figure for March to a 2.1% decrease from a provisional figure of a 3.4% fall. Even with this revision, German industrial production is 1.6% below its level a year earlier. Data on Tuesday showed industrial orders fell by 0.4% in the month of April. "Without any significant pick up in activity, the German economy's recession could continue in the second quarter," ING's global head of macro Carsten Brzeski said.
Persons: Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, April's, Commerzbank's, Ralph Solveen, Solveen, Carsten Brzeski, Anastasiia Kozlova, Maria Martinez, Miranda Murray, Christina Fincher Organizations: Companies, Thomson Locations: BERLIN, Europe, China, United States
Yet Europe’s economic prospects have brightened in recent months, according to the European Commission. It now expects the EU economy to expand 1% this year, up from an estimate of 0.8% in February. But it reflects sharply lower energy prices, which are reducing costs for businesses and easing the strain on households. Even so, the Commission acknowledged that higher borrowing costs aimed at taming rising prices will weigh on growth in the months to come. Growth in Germany, the bloc’s biggest economy, is expected to slow sharply to 0.2% in 2023.
Headline inflation came in at 7% for last month, according to Eurostat, after it dropped to 6.9% in March. At the same time, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, stood at 5.6% in April — from 5.7% in March. Analysts polled by Reuters had estimated a figure of 7% for headline inflation and 5.7% for core. Rather than providing some clarity on how much the central bank might raise rates by, the latest numbers have blurred the picture somewhat. Market players have been debating whether the central bank will hike Thursday by 50 or 25 basis points.
London CNN —The last-minute rescue of Credit Suisse may have prevented the current banking crisis from exploding, but it’s a raw deal for Switzerland. An aerial view of the headquarters of Credit Suisse, center, and UBS, left, at Paradeplatz in Zurich, Switzerland on Sunday, 19 March, 2023. Credit Suisse is “part of Switzerland’s identity,” said Hans Gersbach, a professor of macroeconomics at ETH university in Zurich. “The Credit Suisse Swiss bank is a fine asset that we are very determined to keep,” Kelleher said Sunday. Integration is difficultAt $3.25 billion, UBS got Credit Suisse for 60% less than the bank was worth when markets closed two days prior.
But it is the owners of Credit Suisse’s $17 billion worth of “additional tier one” (AT1) bonds who have been left fully in the cold. David Benamou, chief investment officer at Axiom Alternative Investments, a French wealth management firm with exposure to AT1 bonds, called the decision “quite surprising, not to say … shocking.”What are AT1 bonds? AT1 bonds are also known as “contingent convertibles,” or “CoCos”. It is not the write-down of Credit Suisse’s AT1 bonds that has rocked investors, but the fact that the bank’s shareholders will receive some compensation when bondholders will not. But because Credit Suisse’s demise has not followed a traditional bankruptcy, analysts told CNN, the same rules don’t apply.
In this article CSG.N-CHSBNY Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTPeople walk by the New York headquarters of Credit Suisse on March 15, 2023 in New York City. Barry Norris, CEO of Argonaut Capital, which has a short position in Credit Suisse, stressed the importance of a smooth outcome. watch nowEuropean banking shares have suffered steep declines throughout the latest Credit Suisse saga, highlighting market concerns about the contagion effect given the sheer scale of the 167-year-old institution. At the moment, the forecaster sees the problems at Credit Suisse and SVB as "a collection of different idiosyncratic issues." "We know that for most banks, including Credit Suisse, that exposure to higher yields has largely been hedged.
Credit Suisse is one of the biggest financial institutions in the world. “Credit Suisse is much more globally interconnected … not just a Swiss problem but a global one.”Why is Credit Suisse struggling now? That engulfed other banks facing big problems, including Credit Suisse, which has been a slow-moving car wreck for decades. In 2014, Credit Suisse pleaded guilty to federal charges that it illegally allowed some U.S. clients to evade their taxes. Credit Suisse acted as an underwriter when the company went public on the Nasdaq in 2019.
Summary ECB signalled 50 bps hikeMarkets doubt its resolve and price 25 bpsFinancial turmoil seen derailing rate hike plansInflation to stay above target through 2025FRANKFURT, March 16 (Reuters) - European Central Bank policymakers are meeting on Thursday amidst turmoil in financial markets that could force it to divert from plans for another hefty interest rate hike even though inflation remains too high. Now the ECB must reconcile its inflation-fighting credibility with the need to maintain financial stability in the face of overwhelmingly imported turmoil. Complicating its task, the central bank for the 20 countries that use the euro currency has essentially already committed to a 50 basis point increase on Thursday. Money market pricing suggests that investors now see just a 30% chance of a 50 basis point increase, down from as high as 90% early on Wednesday. The peak ECB rate, also known as terminal rate, is now seen at only around 3.25%, down from 4.1% last week, an exceptional reversal in market pricing.
France eked out 0.1% growth in Q4 as energy crisis eased
  + stars: | 2023-01-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The French fourth quarter GDP figures also provided a positive contrast to Germany after data on Monday showed that the euro zone's biggest economy had unexpectedly shrunk in the fourth quarter. "However, the weakness of domestic demand at the end of last year suggests that a recession is likely, albeit not certain," he added. INSEE said that foreign trade added 0.5 percentage points to GDP in the final quarter of 2022 as exports fell only 0.3 percentage points against 1.9% for imports on lower energy prices. That helped make up for weak domestic demand and companies destocking inventories, which both subtracted 0.2 percentage points from GDP. As record inflation eroded households purchasing power, consumer spending weighed on overall domestic demand, falling 0.9% from the previous three months.
LONDON, Jan 24 (Reuters) - Euro zone business activity made a surprise return to modest growth in January, adding to signs the downturn in the bloc may not be as deep as feared and that the currency union may escape recession, a survey showed. S&P Global's flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), seen as a good gauge of overall economic health, climbed to 50.2 this month from 49.3 in December. In France, the bloc's second biggest economy, output fell slightly overall again in January, its PMI showed, but manufacturing activity improved for the first time since August. British private-sector economic activity, however, fell at its fastest rate in two years in January, another PMI showed, as businesses blamed higher Bank of England interest rates, strikes and weak consumer demand for the slowdown. IMPROVED SERVICESIn a sign they are growing more optimistic, firms in the euro zone increased headcount at a faster rate this month.
REUTERS/Kamil KrzaczynskiSummary U.S. business activity better than expected, but remains softEuro zone posts surprise return to modest growthBritain PMI falls at fastest rate in two years, surveys showNEW YORK/LONDON Jan 24 (Reuters) - The downturn in U.S. business activity eased slightly in January even as it contracted for the seventh straight month while euro zone business activity made a surprise return to modest growth, as two of the world's major economies hope to avert recession this year, surveys showed on Wednesday. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsEURO ZONE BOUNCES BACKThe Euro zone is showing more resilience. Business activity there made a surprise return to modest growth in January, adding to signs the downturn in the bloc may not be as deep as feared and that the currency union may escape recession. In France, the bloc's second-biggest economy, output fell slightly overall again in January, its PMI showed, but manufacturing activity improved for the first time since August. In the Euro zone, there was mixed news on inflation pressures, according to the PMI survey.
Markets track the latest inflation data out of the euro zone ahead of a new ECB meeting. Inflation in the euro zone slowed slightly in November, according to preliminary figures out Wednesday, with prices coming off record highs and missing analyst expectations. Inflation rose above the 10% mark last month, highlighting the severity of the cost-of-living crisis in the bloc. The initial data Wednesday from Europe's statistics office showed headline inflation at an annual 10% this month — representing a 0.6 percentage point fall from October. Energy and food continued to contribute to the lofty inflation figures, but with a noticeable drop in the former.
"The flash PMIs for October provide yet more evidence that the euro zone is sliding into quite a deep recession but that inflationary pressures remain intense," said Andrew Kenningham at Capital Economics. Concerns over rising inflation also weighed on the euro zone's second-biggest economy, France, and business activity there slowed. British government bond prices rose early on Monday after prices fell on Friday as investors braced for more uncertainty. The manufacturing PMI fell to 46.6 from 48.4, its lowest since May 2020 and below all forecasts in the Reuters poll. The future output index fell to 44.8 from 45.3, its lowest since May 2020 - when the COVID-19 pandemic was tightening its grip on the world.
Euro zone industry output up in August much more than expected
  + stars: | 2022-10-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
BRUSSELS, Oct 12 (Reuters) - Euro zone industrial production soared in August far beyond expectations as manufacturers boosted investment despite fears of an upcoming recession, official estimates showed on Wednesday. The European Union's statistics office Eurostat said industrial production in the 19 countries sharing the euro increased 1.5% month-on-month in August for a 2.5% year-on-year rise. Economists polled by Reuters had expected much more modest increases of 0.6% on the month and 1.2% year-on-year, after production fell in July. "All the evidence suggests that euro zone industry is heading for a significant contraction in the coming months," said Andrew Kenningham, chief Europe economist at Capital Economics, a London-based research outfit. Among the bloc's largest economies, France's industrial production rose 2.5% on the month, Italy's was up by 2.3%, whereas output declined in Germany by 0.5%.
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